Articles

Ulkar Imamverdiyeva, Pablo Pinto, and Patrick E. Shea (2026) “An Examination of TradeLiberalization as a Gendered Foreign Policy Instrument” Review of International Political Economy.
Replication Files | Appendix

Lauren Ferry and Patrick E. Shea (2025) “Crises and Consequences: The Role of U.S. Support in International Bond Markets” Journal of Conflict Resolution 69(10): 1713–1740.
Replication Files | Appendix

Ben Cormier and Patrick E. Shea (2025) “Global Finance, Political Business Cycles, and the Politics of Foreign Reserves” International Studies Quarterly 69(3).
Replication Files | Appendix

Matthew DiGiuseppe and Patrick E. Shea (2025) “Information, Uncertainty, & Public Support for Brinkmanship During the 2023 Debt Limit Negotiations” British Journal of Political Science 55(1).
Replication Files | Supplemental Materials

Patrick E. Shea, Bernhard Reinsberg, and Andreas Kern (2025) “China Lending and the Political Economy of Leader Survival” Journal of Conflict Resolution 69(4): 571–598.
Replication Files | Appendix

Andreas Kern, Bernhard Reinsberg, and Patrick E. Shea (2024) “Why Cronies Don’t Cry?: IMF Programs, Chinese Lending, and Leader Survival” Public Choice 198(3–4), 269–295.
Replication Files

Kathleen J. Brown, Matthew DiGiuseppe, and Patrick E. Shea (2023) “Ethnic Politics and Sovereign Credit Risk” Review of International Political Economy 31(2), 589–621.
Appendix

Eugenia Artabe, Sam Chapa, Leah Sparkman, and Patrick E. Shea (2023) “External Threats, Capacity, and Repression: How the Threat of War Affects Political Development and Physical Integrity Rights” British Journal of Political Science 53(4), 1311–1327.
Replication Files | Appendix

Ulkar Imamverdiyeva and Patrick E. Shea (2022) “Re-examining Women Leaders and Military Spending” Journal of Peace Research 59(5), 679–693.
Replication Files

Matthew DiGiuseppe and Patrick E. Shea (2022) “U.S. Patronage, State Capacity, and Civil Conflict” Journal of Politics 84(2): 767–782.
Replication Files | Appendix

Matthew DiGiuseppe and Patrick E. Shea (2021) “Alliances, Signals of Support, and Military Effort” European Journal of International Relations 27(4): 1067–1089.

Jeffrey J. Harden, Justin H. Kirkland, and Patrick E. Shea (2021) “Legislative Transparency and Credit Risk” Legislative Studies Quarterly 46(1): 189–218.

Patrick E. Shea and Paul Poast (2020) “Leaders and Default” International Studies Quarterly 64(2): 406–418.
Replication Files | Appendix

Patrick E. Shea (2020) “Money Talks: Finance, War, and Great Power Politics in the 19th Century” Social Science History 44(2): 223–249.

Matthew DiGiuseppe and Patrick E. Shea (2019) “The Devil’s Haircut: Investor-State Disputes Over Debt” Journal of Conflict Resolution 63(8): 1889–1922.
Replication Files | Appendix

Markie McBrayer, Patrick E. Shea, and Justin Kirkland (2019) “The Financial Crisis, Fiscal Federalism, and the Creditworthiness of US State Governments” Statistics, Politics and Policy 9(1): 1–30.

Patrick E. Shea and Paul Poast (2018) “War and Default” Journal of Conflict Resolution 62(9): 1876–1904.
Replication Files | Appendix

Patrick E. Shea and Jonathan Solis (2018) “Leaders, Tenure, and the Politics of Sovereign Credit” International Interactions 44(2), 294–320.
Replication Files | Appendix

Matthew DiGiuseppe and Patrick E. Shea (2018) “Sovereign Credit and Political Survival in Democracies” Business and Politics 20(3), 360–389.
Finalist for the David P. Baron award for the best article published in BAP in 2018.

Patrick E. Shea and Charlotte Christian (2017) “The Impact of Women Legislators on Military Humanitarian Interventions” Journal of Conflict Resolution 61(10), 2043–2073.
Replication Files | Appendix

Patrick E. Shea (2016) “Borrowing Trouble: Sovereign Credit, Military Regimes, and Conflict” International Interactions 42(3), 401–428.
Replication Files | Appendix

Matthew DiGiuseppe and Patrick E. Shea (2016) “Borrowed Time: Sovereign Finance, Regime Type, and Leader Survival” Economics & Politics 28(3), 342–367.
Appendix

Matthew DiGiuseppe and Patrick E. Shea (2015) “Sovereign Credit and the Fate of Leaders: Reassessing the Democratic Advantage” International Studies Quarterly 59(3), 557–570.
Replication Files | Appendix

Patrick E. Shea (2014) “Financing Victory: Credit, Democracy, and War” Journal of Conflict Resolution 58(5), 771–795.
Replication Files | Appendix

Patrick E. Shea, Terence Teo, and Jack S. Levy (2014) “Opposition Politics and International Crises: A Formal Model” International Studies Quarterly 58(4), 741–751.
Appendix

Book Chapters

Miriam Shiran and Patrick Shea (forthcoming) “Survival Analysis in International Relations” in Joseph Huddleston and Patrick James (eds). Handbook of Research Methods in International Relations. Edward Elgar Publishing.

Rosella Cappella Zielinski and Patrick Shea (forthcoming) “War Finance in the 21st Century” in Vinnie Aggarwal and Tai Ming-Cheung (eds) Oxford Handbook of Geoeconomics and Economic Statecraft, Oxford University Press.